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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins finish, TJ appears sharp and has proven himself well prepared for the 125lb branch. On the toes he should have a significant edge over Cejudo. The length of TJ, combined with his unorthodox fashion, will let him land serious volume contrary to the limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks are a deadly option against the front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and important top control if he’s to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should limit Cejudo’s opportunities to take and on the floor he is going to be difficult to control for extended periods. Overall the path to victory looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is an established finisher who carries good cardio and far superior volume to acquire over 5 rounds. The bet is TJ Dillashaw to become the double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some defects to their match but stylistically this is a winnable fight for the underdog. On the feet Vanzant is more pliable but probably faster with more quantity. Ostovich has a simpler fashion but neither fighter is likely to land substantial damage here. The strength and size of Ostovich will probably be a significant advantage on the ground where the two women tend to attract the fight. Vanzant is stubborn but requires insecure options and leaves a great deal of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise her exceptional control means she will spend much more time on shirt or at dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth struggle where we get good value about the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is making her debut following an impressive run since the KSW winner. Matching up with Calderwood she’s the benefit in many areas. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will be overwhelming for Calderwood who lacks pace and head motion. This fight is most likely to play out on the feet but even on the mat it is Lipski with the far better abilities. Calderwood is coming from a”lucky” entry win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she’s been know to struggle with adversity during conflicts and look for a way out. Lipski though looks to be very durable and fights with heart. In 24 years old she also will be revealing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a design that’s proven against Cowboy with his fast start and relentless pressure. Whether this fight goes the distance it’ll be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone from the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to success is snatching a entry off his back but that is a small probability against a strong wrestler. The power, athleticism, youth and style of Hernandez is going to be a great deal for the veteran to manage with just 3 rounds to operate with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter and the fall back to 155lb is unlikely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 4 Units to win 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch struggle in the very first back in 2014, which Benavidez won via conclusion. Today it is Ortiz who has proven the most improvements in his sport, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez is still a leading contender but does look like he’s marginally diminishing in his recent appearances. For example an underdog Ortiz includes a few paths to success. He will be at a disadvantage on the toes concerning quantity, but packs substantial power. Benavidez was wobbled consistently lately fights suggesting his durability is evaporating. Additionally the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight since Ortiz brings a constant grinding speed. This should be a close fight that looks to be lined overly broad.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to undertake the difficult veteran Glover. On the toes the disparity is broad. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed substantially to his later years and with his durability fading his lack of head motion is evident. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not known for his striking yet discovered enormous success himself on the toes in his last fight against Glover. The clear dilemma for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he should be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns but if he doesn’t get an early entry it’ll be challenging to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can’t get it to the mat his options seem bleak. As an underdog, Roberson looks a solid bet.